The GammaRips weekly briefing — engine state, the latest deep-dive, and the picks on the public ledger. No firehose, no FOMO.
We Use Cookies
We use cookies to enhance your experience, analyze site traffic, and for marketing purposes. By clicking "Accept," you agree to our use of cookies. Read our Privacy Policy.
Full list of unusual options activity detected overnight across 5,230+ tickers, reported on 2026-05-15.Based on overnight flow from 2026-05-14
GammaRips is a daily options signals scanner. Every night at 23:00 ET, the engine ingests institutional options flow — volume, open interest, unusual activity, and directional dollar flow — across every optionable U.S. equity. Candidates clear three deterministic gates: overnight score ≥ 1, spread ≤ 10%, directional UOA > $500K. What you see below is the full post-gate flow for today.
From this list, one single V5.4 contract is selected and pushed to the private WhatsApp group at 07:30 ET with pre-set stop (−60%), target (+80%), and a 3-day hold window. Free readers see the same pick on the home page at the exact same second. No paid-first tier. Browse the raw scan here, or subscribe for the one-a-day WhatsApp push.
| Ticker | Score | Move | Flow | Thesis | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| URI | 8 | 4.0% | $94.1M | URI BULL $1,050C June 20. Geopolitical de-escalation and cooling yields provide a powerful tailwind for URI's infrastructure-heavy business model. Entry on the breakout above $985 resistance with a target of $1,100 based on recent analyst price target hikes. Risk: Any breakdown in the fragile U.S.-China 'Hormuz Agreement' or a surprise spike in inflation data. | |
| MSTR | 8 | 4.7% | $405.7M | MSTR BULL $210C Jun 26. Institutional flow is positioning for a breakout as the company shifts to an 'active balance sheet management' regime, which the market has interpreted as financial maturity. Entry at current levels with a target of the 1.10 mNAV ratio (~$220). Risk: Volatility if the rumored 8-K filing fails to materialize or if BTC spot price rejects $82k resistance. | |
| LLY | 8 | 1.1% | $337.0M | LLY BULL. Aggressive $313M bullish flow targeting $1,100+ as the market absorbs the ex-dividend dip and pivots back to the 'Foundayo' oral delivery growth story. Entry near $1,000 support provides a high-convexity setup with a target of $1,132 (52-week high). Risk: Increased regulatory scrutiny on GLP-1 pricing structure. | |
| WDAY | 7 | 2.1% | $8.9M | WDAY BULL. Accumulate on the re-rating as Agentic AI ARR and Microsoft partnership invalidate the 'SaaSpocalypse' bear case. Entry near $120 support with a target of $135 (50-day MA resistance). Risk: Broad software sector multiple compression or macro tech volatility. | |
| URBN | 7 | 3.6% | $2.3M | URBN BULL $75C June 19. Tactical pre-earnings play as the stock breaks out of its $68-$70 consolidation range. Institutional accumulation ahead of the May 20 report suggests anticipation of positive guidance regarding brand expansion. Risk: Post-earnings 'sell the news' volatility or a miss in the core Anthropologie segment. | |
| HLT | 7 | 1.6% | $58.2M | HLT BULL $320C June 20. Travel sector rotation and post-earnings consolidation are creating a launchpad for a retest of the $340-350 range. Entry near $315 with a target of $348 (consensus PT). Risk: Macro consumer slowdown could invalidate the 'travel recovery' narrative if inflation spikes. | |
| GEL | 7 | 2.3% | $3.6M | GEL BULL $17.5C Jun 26. Reaffirmed 15-20% EBITDA growth and macro support from $100+ oil provide a strong fundamental floor. Entry on the break of $16.50 resistance with a target of $19.00. Risk: Operational delays in offshore pipeline segments could dampen near-term margin expansion. | |
| FIG | 7 | 19.3% | $15.9M | FIG BULL $25C Jun 26. Strong Q1 results and 'not dead' CEO commentary mark a definitive bottom in the AI-competition narrative. Entry on consolidation above $21 support with a $30 gap-fill target. Risk: Broader software sector volatility or a 'sell-the-news' fade if the initial momentum stalls at the 200-day moving average. | |
| BE | 7 | 3.8% | $89.7M | BE BULL. Trade the momentum as secular AI power demand drives a $20B backlog and triple-digit revenue growth. Entry on a clean break of $310 resistance with a target of $350; risk is high valuation (128x forward EPS) and significant recent insider selling totaling over $96M. | |
| APO | 7 | 3.0% | $3.5M | APO BULL $140C. The reported $35B Broadcom financing deal is a game-changer for Apollo's private credit arm, occurring alongside a fresh $1T AUM milestone. Current 3% move is conservative relative to the deal size; entry here targets the $150 resistance level. Risk: Failure to finalize the Broadcom deal or broader private credit margin compression. | |
| WOLF | 6 | 11.2% | $33.7M | WOLF BULL $80C June 26. Strategic pivot to AI data centers provides a powerful new valuation floor, but with RSI currently at 88, the immediate risk is a 'blow-off top' reversal. Entry is preferred on a mean-reversion dip toward $58 support, targeting the $85 analyst objective. Risk: Extreme volatility and negative gross margins make this a high-beta momentum play prone to sharp pullbacks if AI sentiment cools. | |
| WMS | 6 | 1.6% | $4.6M | WMS BULL positioning ahead of May 21 earnings. Institutional flow is front-running a potential guidance beat or confirmation, with shares currently trading ~20% below the $169 consensus analyst target. Entry at current levels with a target of $155 resistance; risk is a post-earnings 'sell the news' event if residential market headwinds are highlighted. | |
| VRT | 6 | 2.2% | $36.3M | VRT BULL. The stock is a core 'picks and shovels' play for AI infrastructure with a dominant market position in data center cooling. Current flow aligns with the broad bullish market regime (VIX < VIX3M) and sector rotation into AI-adjacent technology. Entry on the break of $380 with a target of $410; risk is a macro-driven tech sell-off or profit-taking in the AI sector. | |
| SITM | 6 | 1.8% | $10.7M | SITM BULL $950C Jun 26. AI infrastructure re-rating is in the early stages as the company captures critical GPU timing market share. Bullish flow on this -1.8% consolidation confirms institutional accumulation for a run toward $1,000, supported by price target hikes to $900+ from Barclays and Needham. Risk: Broad semiconductor sector profit-taking or delays in the Renesas acquisition integration. | |
| SATS | 6 | 2.7% | $14.3M | SATS BULL $150C. New Street's 'SpaceX proxy' thesis provides a fundamental floor and a clear path to $161 as the market digests the value of the $8.5B cash/equity spectrum deal. Entry at current levels ($133-$135) targets the $150 resistance zone. Risk: Subscriber churn in legacy DISH business offsets spectrum gains. | |
| RDDT | 6 | 1.5% | $15.5M | RDDT BULL $175C June. Massive institutional accumulation and best-in-class ARPU growth support a reversal from the recent downtrend. Entry at $156 with a price target of $181 (200-day moving average). Risk: Continued insider selling under 10b5-1 plans could cap short-term upside. | |
| PNC | 6 | 1.7% | $2.6M | PNC BULL $225C Jun 26. Institutional accumulation and sector-wide tailwinds for financials provide a low-volatility entry point. Entry above $216 resistance with a $235 price target (analyst consensus). Risk: Macro-driven yield curve shifts that could compress net interest margins. | |
| NRG | 6 | 2.8% | $5.6M | NRG BULL $135C June 19. Thematic rotation into 'AI Power' infrastructure is picking up as NRG reaffirms a 14% EPS CAGR through 2030 despite a soft Q1. Entry near current levels for a recovery trade toward the $150 resistance zone. Risk: Continued mild weather in Texas reducing peak summer demand expectations. | |
| MPWR | 6 | 2.2% | $26.5M | MPWR BULL $1,700C June 26. Institutional flow is aggressively defending the pullback from recent highs following a blockbuster earnings beat and PT hikes to $2,000. Entry at current levels targets a recovery to the $1,675 resistance zone. Risk: Continued insider selling or a broader valuation reset in high-multiple semiconductor names. | |
| LUNR | 6 | 2.4% | $13.4M | LUNR BULL $40C Jun 26. Backlog expansion to $1.1B and Roth Capital's $50 PT upgrade create a high-conviction setup for a trend continuation. Entry near $35 with a target of $45-50 as the market reprices the Goonhilly and COMSAT acquisitions. Risk: Macro-driven volatility in high-beta space names or delays in upcoming Artemis-related milestones. | |
| LRCX | 6 | 1.6% | $27.4M | LRCX BULL $310C Jun 26. Breakout above $300 psychological resistance confirmed by $21M bullish institutional flow and a flurry of analyst upgrades targeting $325-$375. Entry at current levels with a stop below the $290 breakout base; target $325 in the near term. Risk: Broad semiconductor sector exhaustion or macro-driven pullback from overbought RSI levels. | |
| LQDA | 6 | 2.2% | $4.1M | LQDA BULL $60C June. Flow direction aligns with today's bullish scan dominance and the 'Other' sector concentration, following a structural re-rating driven by a 4,187% YoY revenue surge. While the 9-day streak is technically overextended, institutional support remains firm for a move toward the $70 analyst consensus. Risk: A sharp mean-reversion pullback to $50 support if momentum stalls at the $60 psychological resistance. | |
| LITE | 6 | 3.4% | $119.9M | LITE BULL $1050C May 22. Massive institutional positioning ahead of Monday's Nasdaq-100 inclusion creates a high-conviction 'buy the dip' setup. Passive index fund buying will provide a structural bid, while the Zacks #1 upgrade confirms fundamental momentum. Risk: Short-term 'sell the news' volatility once the index rebalancing is complete. | |
| KLAR | 6 | 20.0% | $2.9M | KLAR BULL $17.5C Jun 26. Structural re-rating is underway following the first-ever net profit milestone and Google Gemini integration. Entry on pullbacks toward the $15.50 support level with a technical target of $22.00. Risk: Momentum could stall if the focus shifts back to the slight Q2 revenue guidance miss or macro consumer credit headwinds. | |
| IBKR | 6 | 3.7% | $3.1M | IBKR BULL $90C Jun 26. The stock is a primary beneficiary of the current 'Financials' sector rotation and is clearing major resistance at $88. Entry on the breakout with a target of $95, supported by record revenue momentum and a calm VIX regime. Risk: Post-breakout retest of $85 support if macro sentiment shifts. | |
| FIGR | 6 | 8.6% | $5.5M | FIGR BULL $45C Jun 26. Record Q1 volumes and blockchain-led margin expansion (51% EBITDA) support a move toward the $55 analyst consensus. Entry above $43 support with a $53 target. Risk: Persistent insider selling under 10b5-1 plans could cap near-term upside momentum. | |
| COP | 6 | 1.4% | $64.9M | COP BULL. Geopolitical supply constraints and massive FCF windfall from $100+ oil provide a fundamental floor. Entry at $117.43 targeting $135 (Fair Value) and $150 (Stretch). Risk: De-escalation in Middle East or SPR releases dampening crude prices. | |
| BA | 6 | 4.5% | $131.7M | BA BULL $240C June 2026. Market overreaction to the 200-jet 'miss' ignores the structural pivot of Boeing re-entering the Chinese market after a decade. Entry at current levels ($229) targeting a gap fill to $240 as the shock fades. Risk: Confirmation that orders are non-binding or further 737 MAX production rework headlines. | |
| AAOI | 6 | 11.4% | $67.4M | AAOI BULL $210C Jun 26. The -11.4% drawdown on a $600M ATM offering is a sentiment-driven overreaction that institutions are fading with $51M in bullish flow. Entry near $200 support targets a recovery to $230+ as the focus shifts back to the 800G/1.6T transceiver product cycle and hyperscaler demand. Risk: Active selling by ATM agents could dampen the immediate recovery pace if the offering is executed aggressively. | |
| NVMI | 5 | 10.4% | $4.4M | NVMI BULL June 2026 $600C. The massive guidance delta ($0.22 above consensus) confirms NVMI is a primary beneficiary of the AI infrastructure build-out, specifically in HBM metrology. Entry on consolidation above the $580 breakout level with a $640 target; risk is a broader semiconductor sector rotation or profit-taking after the 10% rally. | |
| MDGL | 5 | 4.0% | $2.8M | MDGL BULL. Truist's survey-driven PT hike to $709 and the 127% YoY revenue growth in Q1 provide a high-conviction fundamental floor. As a leader in the 'Other' sector cluster (39 candidates), the trade targets the $600 psychological resistance with entry at current levels. Risk: Potential for higher-than-expected SG&A in Q2 as marketing for Rezdiffra scales. | |
| IESC | 5 | 2.9% | $5.0M | IESC BULL $700C Jun 20. Secular AI data center demand is driving unprecedented backlog growth, providing a strong fundamental tailwind. With the broad market in a 'calm' regime and IESC sitting in the dominant sector cluster, entry above $690 targets a run to $750. Risk: Heavy insider selling by the CEO and CFO near current levels could signal a local top if $700 resistance holds. | |
| GEV | 5 | 3.0% | $55.4M | GEV BULL $1150C Aug 26. AI-driven power scarcity has transformed GEV into a high-growth infrastructure staple, with orders outpacing manufacturing capacity. Entry at current levels as the stock clears technical resistance at $1,090, targeting $1,300 on continued sector rotation. Risk: Potential project delays in the nuclear segment or a broader industrial slowdown. | |
| FCNCA | 5 | 1.5% | $5.5M | FCNCA BULL. Massive insider buying and institutional accumulation provide a high-conviction setup for a move toward the $2,150 analyst consensus target. Entry near $1,940 with a target of $2,100+; the calm volatility regime (VIX < VIX3M) favors long-dated directional exposure. Risk: Net Interest Margin (NIM) compression if recovery of SVB client flows stalls. | |
| DASH | 5 | 3.3% | $11.7M | DASH BULL $160C June. Entry at $154 following a successful test of the $149 support level. Strong underlying GOV growth and a GAAP profitability inflection provide a fundamental floor, while the institutional flow suggests a move back toward the $175 resistance zone. Risk: Continued revenue misses due to lower take rates or elevated driver subsidies. | |
| CAVA | 5 | 5.4% | $2.8M | CAVA BULL $85C Jun 19. Bullish analyst momentum and structural support from Capital Research Global Investors provide a strong tailwind into the May 19 earnings catalyst. Entry on current momentum for a move toward $92 target; risk is a 'sell the news' reaction if Q1 same-store sales don't significantly exceed the 3-5% guidance range. | |
| NEE | 4 | 1.1% | $3.4M | NEE BULL $100C Jun 26. Strong institutional flow and sector rotation into utilities (39 candidates in 'Other' cluster) support a move toward the new $105 JPM price target. Entry near $95.50 with a stop below the 50-day MA ($92.93); target $100 resistance. Risk: Sensitivity to interest rate volatility if inflation data surprises hawkishly. | |
| KLAC | 4 | 2.5% | $36.1M | KLAC BULL. Accumulate on the break above $1,840 as institutional flow signals a high-conviction bet on the AI-driven guidance raise and the upcoming 10-for-1 stock split. Target $1,950 ahead of the J.P. Morgan tech conference. Risk: Potential geopolitical volatility regarding semiconductor export controls. | |
| HUM | 4 | 1.1% | $10.9M | HUM BULL $310C June 26. Institutional flow is aggressively positioning for a breakout above the $305 resistance level as the sector rotates into healthcare names benefiting from improved Medicare Advantage cost trends. Entry near $300 support with a target of $320. Risk: Regulatory headwinds or a reversal in sector rotation if VIX spikes. | |
| GRRR | 4 | 1.0% | $1.6M | GRRR BULL $15C June. Sovereign-scale AI infrastructure deals totaling over $4.6B provide long-term revenue visibility, while the ATM closure eliminates near-term supply pressure. Accumulate on the current 1% consolidate move with a target of $18.50, aligning with recent bullish analyst price target revisions. Risk: Geopolitical or execution delays on large-scale international projects. | |
| EWBC | 4 | 1.2% | $656K | EWBC BULL $125C Jun 20. Momentum is building as analysts re-rate the name higher following record loan and deposit growth. Entry at current levels targets a breakout above $127 resistance with a target of $135. Risk: Broad regional bank (KRE) weakness or unexpected shifts in Net Interest Margin (NIM) guidance. | |
| DY | 4 | 1.4% | $10.9M | DY BULL $460C Jun 26. Institutional conviction is surging ahead of the Q1 earnings catalyst (est. May 20) as the company leverages a record $9.5B backlog and growth in data center infrastructure. Entry near $450 support with a target of $485 on a post-earnings breakout. Risk: A 'sell the news' reaction if guidance doesn't exceed the high bar set by the previous quarter's 34% revenue growth. | |
| DXCM | 4 | 4.2% | $3.5M | DXCM BULL $65C June 26. Elliott Management's activist entry and cooperation agreement provide a structural floor and a clear path to margin expansion. Entry on the gap-and-go above $60 with a target of $72 (historical resistance). Risk: General healthcare sector weakness or delays in the Medicare CGM coverage expansion decision. | |
| CMRE | 4 | 4.3% | $1.3M | CMRE BULL $17.50C June. Strong Q1 fundamentals and $1.1B liquidity provide a solid floor, while persistent geopolitical supply constraints act as a catalyst for further charter rate appreciation. Entry at current levels for a breakout above the $18.06 52-week high; risk is a sudden resolution to Red Sea tensions or a broader cyclical slowdown. | |
| BMO | 4 | 1.8% | $701K | BMO BULL $155C Jun 19. Strategic divestiture of non-core assets improves the bank's capital profile exactly as analysts turn bullish on Q2 earnings surprises. Trade the pre-earnings drift with an entry above the 20-day moving average, targeting $160. Risk: Higher-than-expected credit loss provisions in the Canadian retail segment could dampen the post-earnings reaction. | |
| UAN | 3 | 3.0% | $61.7M | UAN BULL. Entry at $126 following the post-distribution dip. Institutional conviction is extreme ($60M flow) following a Q1 earnings beat ($4.72 EPS) and 34% YoY surge in UAN realized prices. Target $135 recovery; risk is margin pressure from rising natural gas feedstock costs. | |
| SXT | 3 | 1.3% | $690K | SXT BULL $125C. The company's fundamental profile is robust following a 25% EPS beat and upward guidance revision to $3.70-$3.90 for FY26. With the stock currently consolidating below its $121 all-time high and analyst targets sitting as high as $143 (UBS), this flow targets a breakout. Risk: A high P/E of ~34x may limit immediate upside if broader market volatility returns; exit if $113 support fails. | |
| FDX | 3 | 2.8% | $5.3M | FDX BULL. The Freight unit spin-off (Record Date: May 15) acts as a massive idiosyncratic catalyst, separating the high-margin LTL business to unlock shareholder value. Institutional flow of $3.6M confirms directional conviction ahead of the June 1 trading debut for FDXF. Entry at current levels for a move toward $404 resistance, supported by a $4.1B cash influx and aggressive 'DRIVE' cost-cutting targets. | |
| DECK | 3 | 1.1% | $4.5M | DECK BULL $100C May 22. Strong retail sales data and brand resilience in HOKA/UGG provide a tailwind for a Q4 earnings beat on May 21. Entry near $95 support offers favorable risk/reward against the $90 Wells Fargo floor, targeting a recovery toward the $111 consensus mean. Risk: Downside if guidance reflects significant tariff-related headwinds mentioned in recent analyst bear cases. | |
| TPR | 2 | 1.9% | $6.0M | TPR BULL $135C Jun 26. The stock is significantly oversold following a triple-beat (EPS, Revenue, and Guidance) as the market over-rotated on Kate Spade weakness and tariff rhetoric. With a $5.6M bullish institutional conviction against a minor -1.9% daily dip, the setup favors a mean-reversion trade toward the $145 gap-fill level. Risk: Continued luxury sector weakness or persistent Kate Spade brand drag. | |
| HSY | 2 | 2.7% | $4.8M | HSY BULL $195C Jun 26. Institutional flow is fighting the 'guidance cut' narrative, likely targeting a mean reversion as HSY enters oversold territory (RSI < 30 recently) and sits in the day's most-concentrated bullish sector cluster. Entry at current levels with a target of $205 (gap fill). Risk: Continued volume erosion if consumer discretionary spending in confectionery remains under pressure. | |
| FTAI | 2 | 2.9% | $65.9M | FTAI BULL. Institutional accumulation is heavy following the -2.9% dip, targeting the gap between current price and the $338 fair value narrative. The trade leverages the reaffirmed guidance and the upcoming 'FTAI Power' launch for data centers. Entry near $260 support with a $320 target; risk is potential equity dilution from the recent shelf registration. | |
| ENTG | 2 | 4.0% | $2.6M | ENTG BULL. The 4% pullback provides a tactical entry following a robust Q1 beat ($0.86 vs $0.75) and raised FY26 guidance. Institutional support is evidenced by the $2.28M flow and Capital Research's new 7.5% stake. Entry at $139 with a target of $149 (recent high); risk is a break below $134 support if semi-sector rotation accelerates. | |
| DE | 2 | 1.0% | $13.1M | DE BULL $600C Jun 26. Large institutional call volume ($10.7M) is front-running the May 21 earnings catalyst, likely targeting a recovery toward the $655 consensus analyst target. Entry on the current -1.0% dip is attractive as the 'Other/Industrials' sector shows dominant bullish rotation in today's scan. Risk: Guidance revision downward if North American tractor demand remains softer than expected. | |
| VNOM | 1 | 1.4% | $2.1M | VNOM BULL $50C Jun 20. High-margin Permian royalty model is benefiting from parent Diamondback's (FANG) increased activity and a 2.5% oil production guidance hike. Recent ex-dividend price drop provides a tactical entry point alongside institutional whales (Capital World Investors) accumulating a 12.4% position. Risk: Sustained drop in WTI crude prices below $75/bbl. | |
| CC | 1 | 1.3% | $1.7M | CC BULL $27C Jun 26. Institutional flow is targeting a mean-reversion play after the stock established a pivot bottom following its Q1 earnings gap. Entry near $24.80 support with a $27.50 target for a partial gap fill. Risk: Persistent PFAS litigation overhang or broader materials sector rotation could stall the recovery. |
| Ticker | Score | Move | Flow | Thesis | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHOP | 8 | 4.0% | $56.6M | SHOP BEARISH. Technical bounce off $94 support is meeting massive institutional resistance, with $51M in bearish flow contradicting the broader market's bullish tilt. Trade the fade on this relief rally as long as price remains below $105 resistance, targeting a retest of the $94 lows. Risk: A short squeeze above $110 if the $2B buyback program provides an unexpected liquidity floor. | |
| DUOL | 8 | 4.8% | $13.3M | DUOL BEARISH. Institutional flow is aggressively fading the 4.8% relief rally following the post-earnings guidance reset. The strategic shift to user acquisition over profitability has fundamentally broken the near-term bull case, making this a 'sell the rip' setup with $100 support likely to be retested. Risk: Broad market bullishness (77% scan agreement) could trigger a short squeeze if $115 resistance is breached. | |
| PSKY | 7 | 3.3% | $4.2M | PSKY BEAR $10P Jun '26. Institutional flow is aggressively betting against the $10 support line in favor of the $7-8 analyst valuation floor. This idiosyncratic weakness persists despite a bullish broader market (VIX < 18). Entry on break of $10.00 with a $7.50 target. Risk: Short-term bounce if the company announces a concrete timeline for the unified streaming platform earlier than mid-2026. | |
| NOW | 6 | 5.4% | $103.5M | ||
| HTZ | 6 | 1.2% | $30.9M | HTZ BEAR $9P Jun '26. Massive $30.6M bearish flow stands as a primary outlier against a bullish market regime, following a COO share sale and analyst price target cuts to $5.00. Entry on a sustained break of $5.90 support with a $5.00 target. Risk: Extreme short interest (~20%) makes the name susceptible to squeezes on any positive summer travel data. | |
| LFUS | 5 | 4.4% | $5.0M | LFUS BEAR $440P Jun 19. Investor Day failed to ignite buying interest, resulting in a 'sell the news' flush despite 2030 growth targets. The bearish flow disagrees with the day's dominant bullish scan, marking LFUS as a weak idiosyncratic outlier in the tech sector. Entry below $445 with a target of $420; risk is a sector-wide tech rally lifting all boats. | |
| AVAV | 5 | 3.1% | $16.0M | AVAV BEAR $160P Jun 20. While contract wins provide a temporary floor, the massive bearish options flow ($13.5M) suggests institutional players are positioning for a continuation of the primary downtrend. Entry on this 3.1% relief rally 'gift' with a target of a retest of the $156 52-week low. Risk: A sustained breakout above $175 resistance if the 'drone surge' narrative gains further momentum. | |
| ZS | 4 | 1.4% | $36.5M | ZS BEARISH. Fade the 1.4% sympathy bounce driven by Cisco; $27.5M in institutional bearish flow suggests a 'sell the rip' strategy as the stock remains an outlier in a bullish dominant scan. Entry near $154 targeting $140 support before May 26 earnings. Risk: Broad AI-driven sector momentum overrides idiosyncratic bearish flow. | |
| W | 4 | 3.1% | $53.3M | W BEAR $60P Jun 26. Relief rally from the Fitch upgrade and debt refinancing is being aggressively faded by $52M in institutional bearish flow, disagreeing with today's broader bullish market scan. While credit risk is easing, the 'choppy' consumer demand for home goods remains a headwind for equity valuation. Entry on the 3.1% bounce with a target of $58 support; risk is a short squeeze if the retail sector sees a broad rotation. | |
| SCHW | 4 | 1.7% | $8.1M | SCHW BEAR $85P June '26. The stock is exhibiting clear idiosyncratic weakness, diverging from a broadly bullish tape. A confirmed Death Cross and strategic uncertainty surrounding the banking retreat provide a high-conviction entry for downside continuation. Risk: A broader financial sector rally or faster-than-expected crypto adoption metrics. | |
| AEM | 4 | 2.0% | $9.3M | AEM BEAR $190P Jun 26. Macro headwinds from Indian tariff hikes and a technical breakdown below the 50-day SMA ($195 level) create a high-conviction bearish setup. Institutional flow is heavily idiosyncratic, diverging from the broader bullish market rotation. Target 200-day SMA support near $178; risk is a sudden geopolitical flight-to-safety in gold. | |
| TDG | 3 | 1.3% | $7.4M | TDG BEAR $1,150P Jun 19. Significant insider selling ($48M in 90 days, $17M+ reported yesterday) and a price target cut to $1,750 by BNP Paribas are outweighing strong fundamental earnings. The stock is currently in a technical 'no man's land' below its 200-day MA; entry on the -1.3% dip targets a test of the 52-week low near $1,123. Risk: Broad market 'Other' sector rotation could trigger a short-covering bounce if the $1,180 support level holds. | |
| FSLR | 3 | 1.4% | $8.4M | FSLR BEAR. High-conviction bearish flow aligns with CEO insider selling and Jefferies' strategic concerns over booking visibility. Trade the idiosyncratic weakness for a move toward $199 support (50-day SMA), ignoring the broader market's bullish tilt. Risk: A favorable Section 232 trade ruling remains a 'black swan' bullish catalyst that could squeeze short positions. | |
| DG | 3 | 3.2% | $16.9M | DG BEAR $100P June 26. Technical rejection at the $105 resistance level following a macro-induced selloff. Core customer squeeze from $4+ gas prices and record-low sentiment outweighs the minor technical bounce. Target $95 support; risk is a broader sector short-squeeze if retail sales data beats expectations. | |
| AXON | 3 | 3.2% | $15.5M | AXON BEAR $375P Jun 20. While the court ruling is a long-term positive, the 30-day stay until June 15th invites volatility and potential appeals from local PACs. Institutional flow is aggressively fading the +3.2% bounce, signaling a 'sell the news' reaction to the legal stay. Entry near $390 with a target of $370; risk is a breakout above the 50-day moving average if AI contract momentum overrides legal uncertainty. | |
| XP | 2 | 2.7% | $2.2M | XP BEAR $17.50P May 22. Institutional flow is aggressively fading the 2.7% relief rally triggered by a Zacks upgrade, signaling skepticism ahead of Monday's Q1 earnings. With revenue estimates being revised downward and Brazilian interest rate concerns mounting, the setup favors a reversal. Risk: A surprise beat in client net inflows could trigger a short squeeze above $20 resistance. | |
| TER | 2 | 2.2% | $11.9M | TER BEAR $340P May 22. Following the AMAT earnings print, TER is failing to participate in the broader SOX rally, signaling idiosyncratic weakness or profit-taking in the robotics/test segment. Entry below $355 with a target of the $336 technical support level. Risk: A broader market surge or positive resolution to US-China chip trade talks could trigger a sharp mean-reversion rally. | |
| PRIM | 2 | 2.3% | $2.5M | PRIM BEAR. Heavy institutional positioning against the current 2.3% bounce following a structural re-rating of the company's renewables business. Expect the fade to continue as shareholder litigation and lowered EPS targets ($4.80-$5.00 vs $6.00 prev) cap upside. Risk: Retail 'buy the dip' sentiment or infrastructure sector tailwinds providing temporary support. | |
| GPI | 2 | 2.0% | $1.7M | GPI BEAR setup. While analysts are reiterating 'Buy' ratings after the Q1 miss, the $1.3M bearish flow suggests institutions are betting on continued consumer affordability headwinds and price-target cuts. Entry on this 2% relief bounce targets a retest of the $325 support level; risk is a broader sector-wide short squeeze in automotive retail names like KMX and SAH. | |
| TMO | 1 | 1.1% | $17.9M | TMO BEAR $440P Jun 20. Institutional flow is aggressively fading a minor oversold bounce as the stock remains stuck below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. Entry on this +1.1% 'rip' targets a retest of recent lows near $440 before the May 20 Investor Day. Risk: A surprise guidance raise at the upcoming Investor Day could trigger a short-covering rally given the current oversold technicals. | |
| RJF | 1 | 1.1% | $1.2M | RJF BEAR. $1M bearish flow diverges from the day's dominant bullish scan, marking this as an idiosyncratic setup. Entry on a failure to hold $156 resistance, targeting a return to $150 support. Risk: Broad financial sector strength and the calm VIX environment (17.87) could support a continued technical drift upward despite the bearish flow. |