TMO
BEAR
2026-05-15
Overnight Institutional Flow Signal
Score
1/10
Move
1.1%
Flow
$17.9M
AI Trade Thesis
TMO BEAR $440P Jun 20. Institutional flow is aggressively fading a minor oversold bounce as the stock remains stuck below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. Entry on this +1.1% 'rip' targets a retest of recent lows near $440 before the May 20 Investor Day. Risk: A surprise guidance raise at the upcoming Investor Day could trigger a short-covering rally given the current oversold technicals.
Flow Breakdown
Call Volume
$1.1M
Put Volume
$16.8M
Flow Intent
DIRECTIONAL
Catalyst
Technical Breakout
Recommended Setup
ContractO:TMO260529P00440000
Contract Score5.72/10
Risk/Reward0.1:1
Delta-0.38
Key Levels
Resistance$485.86
Support$444.52
Price$448.21
SMA 50 / 200$486 / $527
52W Range$385 — $644
News & Catalyst Analysis
Key Headline
RBC Capital Initiates TMO at Sector Perform as Market Weighs Soft Organic Growth Against Q1 Earnings Beat
News Summary
TMO is experiencing a minor technical relief bounce after hitting oversold levels (RSI < 30) and trading near 52-week lows following a post-earnings selloff. Despite the 1.1% uptick, institutional sentiment remains heavy with $16.7M in bearish flow, likely fading the move ahead of the May 20 Investor Day where organic growth concerns remain a focal point.
Flow Intent Analysis
The massive $16.7M bearish volume against a minor 1.1% price increase suggests institutions are proactively fading this bounce rather than hedging a significant realized gain.
One email a week. Catch up in five minutes.
The GammaRips weekly briefing — engine state, the latest deep-dive, and the picks on the public ledger. No firehose, no FOMO.