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XP

BULL

2026-06-12

Overnight Institutional Flow Signal

See the 2026-06-12 Morning Briefing

Score

4/10

Move

4.8%

Flow

$2.8M

Engine Flags(1/5 patterns matched — diagnostic, not a trade signal)

📐

High Risk/RewardClean setup with room to run

AI Trade Thesis

XP BULL $17C Jul 17 '26. This trade captures a technical rebound off 52-week lows of $14.80 following the June 10 ex-dividend date, with XP's bullish flow agreeing with today's dominant scan direction and sitting inside the top-concentrated 'Other' sector. Entry near $15.65 with a $17.50 target. Risk: Brazilian macroeconomic headwinds or renewed fee compression.

Flow Breakdown

Call Volume

$1.2M

Put Volume

$1.5M

Flow Intent

DIRECTIONAL

Catalyst

Technical Breakout

More Bullish Flow · 2026-06-12

SBAC9/10 XYZ8/10 WOLF8/10 VELO8/10 UPST8/10 TE8/10

Recommended Setup

ContractO:XP260717C00017000

Strike$17.00

Expiration2026-07-17

Mid Price$0.33

Contract Score10.158/10

Risk/Reward3.1:1

Delta0.32

Key Levels

Resistance$18.31

Support$14.80

Price$15.65

SMA 50 / 200$18 / $18

52W Range$14 — $23

RSI (14)39

News & Catalyst Analysis

Key Headline

XP Inc To Go Ex-Dividend On June 10th, 2026 With 0.2 USD Dividend Per Share.

News Summary

XP bounced sharply off its 52-week low of $14.80, staging a +4.8% reversal driven by a technical rebound following its June 10 ex-dividend date and value-seeking institutional flows. At roughly 8x trailing P/E, the Brazilian financial platform is deeply undervalued, and its newly launched R$1.00 billion buyback program provides a strong fundamental floor. Institutional options flow is highly bullish and is expected to persist as the stock recovers from oversold territory.

Flow Intent Analysis

The large bullish flow focuses on out-of-the-money $17 calls expiring in July, representing an aggressive new upside bet immediately following a sharp intraday reversal from 52-week lows.

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XP

Key Headline

News Summary

Flow Intent Analysis

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