GammaRips

SLNO

BULL
2026-04-07

Overnight Institutional Flow Signal

See the 2026-04-07 Morning Briefing
Score
7/10
Move
32.4%
Flow
$2.4M
Engine Flags(2/5 patterns matched — diagnostic, not a trade signal)
🛡️
Institutional HedgingWhen big money hedges, the underlying moves
Explosive Move2x+ normal range on unusual flow
AI Trade Thesis
SLNO BULL $53.00 Merger Arb. Definitive cash acquisition by Neurocrine (NBIX) at $53/share provides a firm price floor, with the current $0.70 spread offering a low-volatility arbitrage yield for institutional players. Bullish options flow represents mechanical positioning for deal closure rather than a bet on further appreciation. Risk: Deal failure due to regulatory or antitrust hurdles, though probability is low given the all-cash structure and board approval.
Flow Breakdown
Call Volume
$2.2M
Put Volume
$175K
Flow Intent
HEDGING
Catalyst
M&A
More Bullish Flow · 2026-04-07
Recommended Setup
ContractO:SLNO260515C00050000
Contract Score11.753/10
Risk/Reward0.0:1
Delta0.75
Key Levels
Resistance$52.38
Support$29.43
Price$52.25
SMA 50 / 200$38 / $57
52W Range$29$90
News & Catalyst Analysis

Key Headline

Neurocrine to Acquire Soleno Therapeutics in $2.9 Billion All-Cash Deal

News Summary

Soleno Therapeutics (SLNO) gapped up 32% to approximately $52.30 after announcing a definitive agreement to be acquired by Neurocrine Biosciences (NBIX) for $53.00 per share in an all-cash deal valued at $2.9 billion. The move has effectively exhausted the primary catalyst, as the stock is now trading at 98.6% of the offer price with a narrow spread. Institutional bullish flow is likely driven by merger arbitrageurs capturing the final spread or institutions hedging existing long positions until the deal's expected close in ~90 days.

Flow Intent Analysis

The $2.2M bullish flow appeared after the 32% move and is pinned to the $53 cash buyout price, signaling institutional merger arbitrage or the rolling of positions rather than a new directional bet on organic price growth.

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